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Future Cast report

Sample store · fictional data

  1. 01Overview— Findings ranked by consequence, each with the evidence behind it.
  2. 02Market basket— Cross-purchase relationships and bundle candidates.
  3. 03Customer intelligence— Who buys, where they are, and who is drifting away.
  4. 04Seasonality— Demand shape across the order history observed.
01

Overview

Findings ranked by consequence, each with the evidence behind it.

Revenue2M-63.3%789.8 average order
Orders6981.27 per customer
Customers54933% high value
Repeat rate16%customers who ordered again

Win back 431 customers before they lapse

Active customers have gone 183 days without ordering on average.

High-risk customers43178.5% of base
Average inactivity183 dayssince last order
Average risk score84%78 medium risk

High risk431
Medium risk78
Not at risk40

Risk is scored from how long a customer has gone without ordering, measured against their own previous buying rhythm. A customer who ordered monthly and has been quiet for three months scores higher than an occasional buyer at the same gap.

Demand is down 63.3% month over month

51 units in the last four weeks against 139 in the four before.

Previous 4 weeks
Recent 4 weeks

Trend directionDecreasing
Recent 4 weeks51units
Previous 4 weeks139units
Year over year0.0%last 52 weeks

Product trends, last 4 weeks against the 4 before
ProductTrendChangeRecent 4 wks
BerghofDeclining-55%33
Cherry AleDeclining-73%18

Restock Berghof

Growing -55% with high revenue share — the products most likely to stock out.

High growth, high revenue share. These carry the business — keep them in stock.

Stars products
ProductGrowthRevenue shareUnits soldEst. revenue
Berghof-55%53.7%6281.1M

Elsewhere in the matrixDogs 1

Bundle Indulge in Boutique… with Premium Shiraz -…

Bought together: 7 orders. Lift 16.0× over chance.

Orders analyzed698baskets in the window
Average basket—items per order
Pairs found5above chance

Product pairs by association strength
PairLift ×Orders
Indulge in Boutique… + Premium Shiraz -…
Bought together: 7 orders
16.0×7
Beowulf Viking Mead… + Honigjäger Honey…
Bought together: 5 orders
4.8×5
Drayman's Highveld… + Premium Shiraz -…
Bought together: 4 orders
4.7×4
Drayman's Protea… + Premium Shiraz -…
Bought together: 4 orders
3.1×4
Drayman's Highveld… + Drayman's Protea…
Bought together: 6 orders
2.5×6

Adjusted lift: how much more often the pair is bought together than chance, made cautious for pairs with few orders. A lift of 3× means the pairing is three times stronger than chance — worth bundling. Pairs from the same collection are often bought as a set by design.

Only 16% of customers order twice

Most revenue is coming from first-time buyers, which makes it expensive to hold.

Total customers549
Repeat rate16%87 returning
Average CLV446.5Kacross all segments

Customers by value segment
SegmentCustomersShareAverage CLVSpent to date
High value18133%1M5.8K
Low value18033%45.2K3.4K
Medium value18834%259.6K1.7K

Clear 1 product holding shelf space

Low growth and low revenue share. Mark down to recover working capital, or delist.

Low growth, low revenue share. Candidates for markdown or delisting.

Dogs products
ProductGrowthRevenue shareUnits soldEst. revenue
Cherry Ale-73%46.3%541915.1K

Elsewhere in the matrixStars 1

Build inventory ahead of the November peak

Demand concentrates around this month. Ordering 6–8 weeks earlier avoids paying rush rates.

Peak monthOther months
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec

Peak monthNov22.1
Slowest monthJul3.1
Peak to trough7.1×swing in demand

Launch promotions on Thursday around 1pm

Your store's busiest window — campaigns sent into it reach the most active buyers. Strongest single slot: Thursday 1pm.

Busiest hours

1pm10am9am2pm4pm

Revenue by day

Thursday420.8K
Wednesday385.3K
Tuesday335.8K

Best day and hour slots

Thursday 1pmWednesday 7amSunday 4pmWednesday 3pmThursday 6am

These windows describe when your existing customers already buy. Sending a campaign into a peak reaches an audience that is browsing anyway; sending into a trough asks them to change their habit as well as their mind.

33% of customers are high value

Average lifetime value across the base is 446.5K. These are the customers worth a retention budget.

Total customers549
Repeat rate16%87 returning
Average CLV446.5Kacross all segments

Customers by value segment
SegmentCustomersShareAverage CLVSpent to date
High value18133%1M5.8K
Low value18033%45.2K3.4K
Medium value18834%259.6K1.7K
02

Market basket

Cross-purchase relationships and bundle candidates.

Orders analyzed698baskets in the window
Multi-item orders512baskets with 2+ products
Strongest link16.0×Indulge in… + Premium Shiraz… · bought together in 7 orders

Cross-purchase network

Solid lines are complements (bought together); dashed lines are substitutes (one instead of the other)

Indulge in…Premium Shiraz…Beowulf Viking…Honigjäger…Drayman's Highve…Drayman's Protea…
ComplementSubstituteClick a product to isolate its relationships

Reading the network

Complement
Bought together more often than chance — a bundling candidate.
Substitute
Customers buy one instead of the other — bundling gives away margin. Strong means three or more independent signals agree; possible means two.
Adjusted lift
How much more often the pair is bought together than chance, made cautious for pairs with few orders. Higher = stronger complement.

Complements

Products bought together — bundle candidates

No complement pairs detected yet.

Substitutes

Products bought instead of each other — avoid bundling

No substitute pairs detected yet.

Association metrics

5 of 5 pairs, ranked by lift

Product pair association metrics
PairSupportConfidenceLift ×OrdersRelationship
Indulge in Boutique… + Premium Shiraz -…
Bought together: 7 orders
1.00%41%16.0×7Complement
Beowulf Viking Mead… + Honigjäger Honey…
Bought together: 5 orders
0.72%23%4.8×5Complement
Drayman's Highveld… + Premium Shiraz -…
Bought together: 4 orders
0.57%22%4.7×4Complement
Drayman's Protea… + Premium Shiraz -…
Bought together: 4 orders
0.57%22%3.1×4Complement
Drayman's Highveld… + Drayman's Protea…
Bought together: 6 orders
0.86%18%2.5×6Complement
03

Customer intelligence

Who buys, where they are, and who is drifting away.

Total customers549
Repeat rate16%87 returning
Average CLV446.5K33% high value
Average inactivity183 dayssince last order

Where demand concentrates

Top locations by attributed revenue

Pretoria246.1K
31.2% of attributed revenue
Johannesburg191.5K
24.3% of attributed revenue
180.2K
22.8% of attributed revenue
Roodepoort94.5K
12.0% of attributed revenue
Durban76.9K
9.7% of attributed revenue

New against returning

Share of customers by repeat behaviour

New84%462 customers
Returning16%87 customers

A store leaning heavily on new customers pays acquisition cost on every sale. Moving this bar rightward is usually cheaper than growing traffic.

Value segments

Customers grouped by lifetime value

Customers by value segment
SegmentCustomersShareAverage CLVSpent to date
High value18133%1M5.8K
Low value18033%45.2K3.4K
Medium value18834%259.6K1.7K

Regional performance

Locations by revenue

Regional performance
LocationCustomersRevenue
Pretoria68246.1K
Johannesburg39191.5K
69180.2K
Roodepoort1294.5K
Durban876.9K
Centurion2473.4K
Cape Town2772.6K
Sandton1769.7K
Brandfort138K
Potchefstroom631.2K

Discounts

How discounted orders compare with full-price orders

Orders with a discount2%45 orders
Discounted order833.6average
Full-price order848.2average
04

Seasonality

Demand shape across the order history observed.

Demand peaks around November. Building inventory six to eight weeks ahead of that avoids rush freight, and planning markdowns for July protects margin instead of chasing volume.

Monthly demand

Each bar is that month's demand index; the peak is highlighted

Peak monthOther months
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec

Peak monthNov22.1
Slowest monthJul3.1
Peak to trough7.1×swing in demand
Months observed12

Quarterly shape

Indexed against your strongest quarter

Q163Second strongest
Q250Slowest quarter
Q353Mid-range
Q4100Strongest quarter

Values are relative, not absolute: the strongest quarter reads 100% and the others are scaled against it.

Everything above was produced automatically from order history. Install Future Cast and your first analysis is ready in minutes.

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